Alabama State
SWAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#59
+0.3 pts · likely #36–91
Strength of schedule
16.1
#119 of 128
Strength of victory
15.5
#76
Record SOS
0.456
Opp. 45.3% · Opp. opp. 46.3%
Remaining SOS
16.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 30-17 | −8.7 | 0.0 | 0.115 | 3 | +4.5 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-15 | −21.8 | −2.2 | 0.013 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | L 10-16 | −10.4 | +2.2 | 0.121 | 3 | −13.2 |
| 6 | vs Florida A&M | L 27-28 | −15.5 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Texas Southern · p 0.116
- Wk 11: vs Jackson State · p 0.197
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.191
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LaneDII · W 34-0
- Wk 2: at TroyFBS · L 17-34