Tarleton State
UAC · 8-0 vs FCS · 9-0 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 9.9% of the time
Power
#10
+15.0 pts · likely #5–25
Strength of schedule
22.2
#103 of 128
Strength of victory
22.2
#56
Record SOS
0.453
Opp. 40.5% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
41.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
6-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 49-30 | −1.7 | −2.2 | 0.192 | 3 | +15.1 |
| 2 | at McNeese | W 27-24 | −4.4 | +2.2 | 0.224 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 3 | vs Merrimack | W 45-20 | −6.1 | −2.2 | 0.121 | 3 | +17.3 |
| 5 | vs Chicago State | W 56-21 | −22.5 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.476
- Wk 11: at West Florida · p 0.331
- Wk 12: at North Alabama · p 0.423
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · W 20-13