South Dakota State
MVFC · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 1.9% of the time
Power
#4
+20.8 pts · likely #2–11
Strength of schedule
45.1
#9 of 129
Strength of victory
38.6
#3
Record SOS
0.603
Opp. 62.6% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
50.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 20-3 | +9.9 | −2.4 | 0.461 | 2 | +23.2 |
| 2 | at Montana State | W 30-24 OT | +26.4 | +2.4 | 0.910 | 1 | +30.5 |
| 3 | vs Drake | W 37-21 | +1.2 | −2.4 | 0.246 | 3 | +15.8 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51-7 | −3.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Indiana State · p 0.168
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.551
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.403
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.816
- Wk 14: vs New Hampshire · p 0.346
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.772