Murray State
MVFC · 0-6 vs FCS · 0-8 overall
Strength of record
#124
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#113
−10.8 pts · likely #88–120
Strength of schedule
55.9
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.623
Opp. 69.8% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
47.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Tennessee State | L 17-45 | +4.9 | +2.4 | 0.453 | 2 | −19.9 |
| 2 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | L 24-45 | +15.2 | −2.4 | 0.602 | 1 | −9.2 |
| 6 | at South Dakota | L 24-49 | +8.1 | +2.4 | 0.541 | 1 | −13.9 |
| 7 | vs Illinois State | L 32-46 | +8.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.582
- Wk 11: at Northern Iowa · p 0.330
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.718
- Wk 13: at Indiana State · p 0.261
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-37
- Wk 4: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 10-45