South Dakota
MVFC · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 68% of the time
Power
#24
+8.7 pts · likely #14–46
Strength of schedule
37.3
#34 of 129
Strength of victory
23.0
#41
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 56.3%
Remaining SOS
64.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lamar | L 13-20 | +7.0 | +2.4 | 0.510 | 1 | +2.5 |
| 3 | vs Northern Colorado | W 24-17 OT | −0.8 | −2.4 | 0.205 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 4 | vs Drake | W 42-21 | +4.0 | −2.4 | 0.309 | 2 | +20.8 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | L 13-51 | +32.6 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.718
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.751
- Wk 12: at Southern Illinois · p 0.702
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.265
- Wk 15: at Mercer · p 0.662
- Wk 17: at Montana · p 0.772
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 7-55