Drake
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#55
+2.2 pts · likely #33–80
Strength of schedule
28.8
#79 of 129
Strength of victory
9.2
#79
Record SOS
0.440
Opp. 40.5% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
25.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota State | L 21-37 | +22.0 | +2.4 | 0.853 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | L 21-42 | +7.0 | +2.4 | 0.510 | 1 | −9.9 |
| 6 | vs Valparaiso | W 41-0 | −23.8 | −2.4 | 0.008 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 7 | at San Diego | W 19-16 | −3.9 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Butler · p 0.205
- Wk 11: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.267
- Wk 12: at Dayton · p 0.244
- Wk 13: vs Morehead State · p 0.021
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.551
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Upper IowaDII · W 41-7