San Diego
Pioneer · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#83
−3.9 pts · likely #59–103
Strength of schedule
33.5
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
28.8
#22
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 45.2% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
7.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | L 17-41 | +2.8 | −2.4 | 0.281 | 2 | −22.1 |
| 2 | vs Southern Utah | W 30-27 OT | +10.2 | −2.4 | 0.469 | 2 | +9.4 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 7-41 | +24.8 | +2.4 | 0.891 | 1 | −6.5 |
| 4 | at Princeton | W 42-35 | +2.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Dayton · p 0.155
- Wk 11: at Valparaiso · p 0.017
- Wk 12: vs Butler · p 0.125
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.012