St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#56
+2.0 pts · likely #32–80
Strength of schedule
15.0
#126 of 129
Strength of victory
6.0
#81
Record SOS
0.381
Opp. 30.9% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
41.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | −1.3 | −2.4 | 0.195 | 3 | +15.7 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +6.2 | +2.4 | 0.488 | 2 | +1.8 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −4.6 | +2.4 | 0.222 | 3 | −4.5 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −7.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.059
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.380
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.245
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.966
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7