Lindenwood
OVC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#82
−3.9 pts · likely #57–104
Strength of schedule
36.6
#37 of 129
Strength of victory
35.8
#5
Record SOS
0.634
Opp. 70.3% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
20.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lindenwood. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 13-35 | +0.3 | +2.4 | 0.333 | 2 | −17.6 |
| 3 | at Charleston Southern | W 35-28 | −4.1 | +2.4 | 0.233 | 3 | +4.5 |
| 4 | vs Stony Brook | W 30-27 | +7.3 | −2.4 | 0.391 | 2 | +6.4 |
| 6 | vs UT Martin | W 30-14 | +9.5 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Tennessee State · p 0.165
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.156
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.116
- Wk 13: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.374
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at App StateFBS · L 13-20
- Wk 5: at Miami (OH)FBS · L 0-38