Gardner-Webb
OVC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#57
+1.9 pts · likely #33–81
Strength of schedule
26.3
#88 of 129
Strength of victory
27.1
#27
Record SOS
0.548
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 57.9%
Remaining SOS
31.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Western Carolina | W 52-45 | +7.2 | +2.4 | 0.515 | 1 | +15.7 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 23-13 | −1.8 | −2.4 | 0.186 | 3 | +5.3 |
| 6 | vs Charleston Southern | W 30-27 | −6.1 | −2.4 | 0.118 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 7 | at Eastern Illinois | W 21-10 | −5.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.738
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.260
- Wk 12: at Tennessee State · p 0.165
- Wk 13: vs Western Illinois · p 0.091
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 12-59
- Wk 4: at OhioFBS · L 35-52