The Citadel
Southern · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#74
−2.3 pts · likely #51–99
Strength of schedule
41.1
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
26.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.608
Opp. 67.2% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
26.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Dakota State | L 0-38 | +33.3 | −2.4 | 0.932 | 1 | −3.8 |
| 2 | at Samford | W 40-13 | −13.6 | +2.4 | 0.085 | 4 | +15.0 |
| 3 | at Gardner-Webb | L 13-23 | +1.7 | +2.4 | 0.369 | 2 | −5.7 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 0-38 | +9.7 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.030
- Wk 12: vs Wofford · p 0.293
- Wk 13: at East Tennessee State · p 0.483
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 7: vs Valdosta StateDII · W 38-14