Mercer
Southern · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#13
+13.3 pts · likely #7–30
Strength of schedule
24.5
#92 of 129
Strength of victory
25.5
#30
Record SOS
0.451
Opp. 40.1% · Opp. opp. 55.3%
Remaining SOS
35.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −1.8 | −2.4 | 0.186 | 3 | −7.4 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | +1.9 | −2.4 | 0.260 | 2 | +1.9 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | +0.8 | +2.4 | 0.348 | 2 | +35.1 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +5.9 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Furman · p 0.272
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.468
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.248
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.423