East Tennessee State
Southern · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#37
+5.7 pts · likely #22–62
Strength of schedule
28.8
#80 of 129
Strength of victory
18.3
#55
Record SOS
0.455
Opp. 42.9% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
23.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Murray State | W 45-17 | −9.6 | −2.4 | 0.077 | 4 | +14.8 |
| 3 | at West Georgia | L 31-35 | +5.1 | +2.4 | 0.459 | 2 | +2.3 |
| 4 | vs Elon | W 26-16 | +4.8 | −2.4 | 0.328 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 5 | vs Mercer | L 34-38 | +12.8 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.065
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.468
- Wk 13: vs The Citadel · p 0.178
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 17-72