Samford
Southern · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#115
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#118
−14.5 pts · likely #103–124
Strength of schedule
29.3
#74 of 129
Strength of victory
6.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 48.0% · Opp. opp. 49.0%
Remaining SOS
44.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs West Georgia | L 3-34 | +3.9 | −2.4 | 0.307 | 2 | −29.5 |
| 2 | vs The Citadel | L 13-40 | −4.3 | −2.4 | 0.144 | 3 | −31.7 |
| 4 | at Western Carolina | L 35-50 | +6.6 | +2.4 | 0.499 | 2 | −6.3 |
| 5 | vs Furman | L 13-31 | −3.2 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Wofford · p 0.413
- Wk 11: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.357
- Wk 12: at Austin Peay · p 0.569
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at BaylorFBS · L 7-42