North Dakota State
MVFC · 8-0 vs FCS · 8-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 0.4% of the time
Power
#1
+33.6 pts · likely #1–2
Strength of schedule
42.2
#18 of 129
Strength of victory
42.2
#2
Record SOS
0.587
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 59.4%
Remaining SOS
43.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | −2.0 | +2.4 | 0.280 | 2 | +35.1 |
| 2 | at Tennessee State | W 59-3 | −8.2 | +2.4 | 0.158 | 3 | +30.3 |
| 3 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 41-14 | +0.9 | −2.4 | 0.240 | 3 | +27.1 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | W 51-13 | +9.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.480
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.816
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.223
- Wk 13: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.267
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.403