Mercyhurst
NEC · 3-6 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#90
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#93
−5.5 pts · likely #69–108
Strength of schedule
41.0
#21 of 129
Strength of victory
11.7
#73
Record SOS
0.516
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
15.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 15-24 | +11.8 | +2.4 | 0.637 | 1 | +4.0 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 48-14 | −13.3 | −2.4 | 0.047 | 4 | +15.8 |
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 28-49 | +8.9 | +2.4 | 0.561 | 1 | −9.9 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 0-17 | +27.2 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Saint Francis · p 0.045
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.070
- Wk 13: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.334