Sacramento State
Big Sky · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#26
+8.7 pts · likely #15–49
Strength of schedule
40.7
#22 of 129
Strength of victory
27.3
#26
Record SOS
0.565
Opp. 56.2% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
41.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota State | L 3-20 | +21.0 | +2.4 | 0.836 | 1 | +6.2 |
| 3 | vs Mercyhurst | W 49-28 | −3.8 | −2.4 | 0.151 | 3 | +13.1 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 45-16 | +5.5 | −2.4 | 0.345 | 2 | +29.8 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | L 24-32 | +3.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.397
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.142
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.364
- Wk 13: at UC Davis · p 0.742
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · L 17-20