Central Arkansas
UAC · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#50
+3.2 pts · likely #27–73
Strength of schedule
39.6
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
16.6
#60
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 50.4%
Remaining SOS
45.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-17 | −17.8 | −2.4 | 0.024 | 4 | +4.1 |
| 3 | vs Tarleton State | L 10-56 | +20.9 | −2.4 | 0.741 | 1 | −15.0 |
| 4 | at Sacramento State | L 16-45 | +6.8 | +2.4 | 0.504 | 1 | −17.9 |
| 5 | at Lamar | L 32-35 | +8.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.239
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.569
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.553
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.466
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 6-61