Arkansas-Pine Bluff
SWAC · 1-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−17.5 pts · likely #111–127
Strength of schedule
20.4
#111 of 129
Strength of victory
9.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.433
Opp. 40.7% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
23.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Central Arkansas | L 17-41 | +2.6 | +2.4 | 0.393 | 2 | −18.4 |
| 5 | vs (N) Alcorn State | W 24-20 | −10.0 | 0.0 | 0.099 | 4 | −6.5 |
| 6 | at Texas Southern | L 7-51 | −9.5 | +2.4 | 0.137 | 3 | −38.0 |
| 8 | vs Grambling State | L 16-20 | −4.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Southern · p 0.030
- Wk 11: vs Florida A&M · p 0.070
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.242
- Wk 13: at Alabama State · p 0.595
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 7-67
- Wk 3: vs Lincoln (CA)Non-NCAA · W 34-8