Alcorn State
SWAC · 1-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−10.5 pts · likely #86–119
Strength of schedule
8.5
#129 of 129
Strength of victory
2.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.310
Opp. 24.2% · Opp. opp. 44.8%
Remaining SOS
22.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northwestern State | L 10-20 | −18.6 | +2.4 | 0.043 | 4 | −25.2 |
| 2 | at Alabama A&M | L 31-41 | −9.9 | +2.4 | 0.132 | 3 | −16.8 |
| 5 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | L 20-24 | −19.9 | 0.0 | 0.025 | 4 | −21.5 |
| 6 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 12-13 | −3.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Texas Southern · p 0.199
- Wk 11: vs Southern · p 0.030
- Wk 12: vs Grambling State · p 0.129
- Wk 13: at Jackson State · p 0.546
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Mississippi StateFBS · L 0-63
- Wk 7: vs Lincoln (CA)Non-NCAA · W 42-0