Northwestern State
Southland · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#110
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#124
−17.6 pts · likely #111–127
Strength of schedule
29.2
#76 of 129
Strength of victory
7.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.488
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 39.8%
Remaining SOS
33.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alcorn State | W 20-10 | −9.6 | −2.4 | 0.077 | 4 | −2.9 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | L 24-27 | −1.8 | +2.4 | 0.284 | 2 | −4.3 |
| 6 | vs East Texas A&M | L 10-40 | −2.4 | −2.4 | 0.175 | 3 | −32.6 |
| 7 | at Houston Christian | L 17-20 | −10.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at McNeese · p 0.216
- Wk 11: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.285
- Wk 12: at Nicholls State · p 0.274
- Wk 13: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.546
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 0-66
- Wk 3: at CincinnatiFBS · L 0-70