Montana
Big Sky · 7-0 vs FCS · 8-0 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 2.2% of the time
Power
#7
+17.1 pts · likely #4–18
Strength of schedule
38.3
#28 of 129
Strength of victory
38.3
#4
Record SOS
0.566
Opp. 54.7% · Opp. opp. 60.3%
Remaining SOS
51.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota | W 24-23 | +20.0 | −2.4 | 0.721 | 1 | +18.2 |
| 4 | vs Indiana State | W 63-20 | −0.9 | −2.4 | 0.202 | 3 | +29.2 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 41-30 | +5.8 | −2.4 | 0.354 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 6 | at Idaho State | W 42-38 | −3.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Weber State · p 0.305
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.279
- Wk 12: at Portland State · p 0.142
- Wk 13: vs Montana State · p 0.825
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota State · p 0.751
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.423
- Wk 17: at Montana State · p 0.896
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 42-17