North Dakota
MVFC · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#5
+19.6 pts · likely #3–12
Strength of schedule
38.0
#30 of 129
Strength of victory
31.5
#11
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 45.2% · Opp. opp. 58.8%
Remaining SOS
65.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 50-20 | −9.4 | −2.4 | 0.079 | 4 | +18.7 |
| 3 | at Montana | L 23-24 | +17.4 | +2.4 | 0.769 | 1 | +18.5 |
| 4 | vs Valparaiso | W 58-7 | −26.6 | −2.4 | 0.005 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 35-7 | +1.5 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at South Dakota · p 0.551
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.934
- Wk 12: at Murray State · p 0.116
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.751
- Wk 14: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.738
- Wk 15: at Tarleton State · p 0.866
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 35-38