Youngstown State
MVFC · 8-3 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#19
+12.2 pts · likely #9–33
Strength of schedule
43.0
#16 of 129
Strength of victory
29.8
#23
Record SOS
0.516
Opp. 51.0% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
58.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 24-15 | −5.4 | −1.6 | 0.140 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 2 | vs Robert Morris | W 56-17 | −8.6 | −1.6 | 0.097 | 4 | +24.9 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 31-28 | +1.6 | +1.6 | 0.346 | 2 | +6.8 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 30-35 | +15.8 | −1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Yale · p 0.587
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Michigan StateFBS · L 24-41