Towson
CAA · 6-5 vs FCS · 6-6 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#55
+2.4 pts · likely #36–75
Strength of schedule
28.0
#84 of 129
Strength of victory
12.4
#86
Record SOS
0.427
Opp. 39.1% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −13.6 | +1.6 | 0.077 | 4 | +7.4 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −6.7 | +1.6 | 0.169 | 3 | −0.2 |
| 4 | vs Youngstown State | L 28-31 | +13.1 | −1.6 | 0.568 | 1 | +7.8 |
| 5 | at Bryant | W 26-24 | −9.6 | +1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44