Villanova
CAA · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 9.7% of the time
Power
#18
+13.0 pts · likely #7–30
Strength of schedule
32.3
#60 of 129
Strength of victory
30.0
#21
Record SOS
0.543
Opp. 56.0% · Opp. opp. 50.8%
Remaining SOS
68.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +0.5 | −1.6 | 0.247 | 3 | +5.6 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +8.5 | +1.6 | 0.529 | 1 | −7.5 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +5.0 | −1.6 | 0.354 | 2 | +11.2 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +11.9 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Harvard · p 0.666
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.760
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.823
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.494
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52