North Dakota
MVFC · 7-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 37% of the time
Power
#6
+17.3 pts · likely #3–16
Strength of schedule
44.9
#13 of 129
Strength of victory
29.1
#25
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 50.5% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
74.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 50-20 | −9.9 | −1.6 | 0.083 | 4 | +18.8 |
| 3 | at Montana | L 23-24 | +18.5 | +1.6 | 0.774 | 1 | +18.5 |
| 4 | vs Valparaiso | W 58-7 | −25.2 | −1.6 | 0.008 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 35-7 | +1.3 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.668
- Wk 15: at Tarleton State · p 0.823
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 35-38