South Dakota State
MVFC · 8-4 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#10
+15.0 pts · likely #5–22
Strength of schedule
47.7
#6 of 129
Strength of victory
46.1
#1
Record SOS
0.587
Opp. 61.3% · Opp. opp. 53.4%
Remaining SOS
62.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 20-3 | +11.5 | −1.6 | 0.527 | 1 | +25.7 |
| 2 | at Montana State | W 30-24 OT | +28.6 | +1.6 | 0.926 | 1 | +31.6 |
| 3 | vs Drake | W 37-21 | −0.1 | −1.6 | 0.234 | 3 | +14.3 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51-7 | −3.4 | −1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs New Hampshire · p 0.469
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.773