Mercyhurst
NEC · 5-7 vs FCS · 5-7 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#89
−5.4 pts · likely #71–106
Strength of schedule
34.3
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
11.3
#89
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 50.6% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 15-24 | +13.4 | +1.6 | 0.658 | 1 | +4.6 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 48-14 | −11.7 | −1.6 | 0.065 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 28-49 | +10.2 | +1.6 | 0.576 | 1 | −9.5 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 0-17 | +28.7 |