South Dakota
MVFC · 8-3 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 14% of the time
Power
#20
+11.6 pts · likely #10–34
Strength of schedule
45.4
#11 of 129
Strength of victory
38.2
#4
Record SOS
0.564
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 55.8%
Remaining SOS
58.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lamar | L 13-20 | +6.3 | +1.9 | 0.479 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 3 | vs Northern Colorado | W 24-17 OT | −5.2 | −1.9 | 0.137 | 3 | −3.7 |
| 4 | vs Drake | W 42-21 | +2.3 | −1.9 | 0.279 | 2 | +20.3 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | L 13-51 | +29.8 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.256
- Wk 15: at Mercer · p 0.714
- Wk 17: at Montana · p 0.773
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 7-55