Murray State
MVFC · 0-9 vs FCS · 0-11 overall
Strength of record
#126
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#104
−9.7 pts · likely #86–116
Strength of schedule
56.6
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.580
Opp. 61.8% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
26.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-8
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Tennessee State | L 17-45 | +7.4 | +1.9 | 0.510 | 1 | −17.5 |
| 2 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | L 24-45 | +15.2 | −1.9 | 0.616 | 1 | −8.8 |
| 6 | at South Dakota | L 24-49 | +10.7 | +1.9 | 0.596 | 1 | −11.6 |
| 7 | vs Illinois State | L 32-46 | +13.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Indiana State · p 0.268
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-37
- Wk 4: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 10-45