Northern Iowa
MVFC · 3-7 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#75
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#67
−0.5 pts · likely #47–85
Strength of schedule
48.1
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
17.3
#63
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 52.8% · Opp. opp. 53.9%
Remaining SOS
55.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-6
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 38-14 | −7.0 | −1.9 | 0.112 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 3 | vs Eastern Washington | W 17-14 | +4.1 | −1.9 | 0.322 | 2 | +5.3 |
| 4 | at Utah Tech | L 9-20 | −5.9 | +1.9 | 0.189 | 3 | −14.9 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota | L 7-35 | +17.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Youngstown State · p 0.558
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 7-31