Butler
Pioneer · 3-6 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#100
−8.5 pts · likely #82–114
Strength of schedule
22.3
#103 of 129
Strength of victory
24.0
#40
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 51.3% · Opp. opp. 46.4%
Remaining SOS
0.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-38 | −1.7 | +1.9 | 0.275 | 2 | −22.7 |
| 4 | at Weber State | L 24-38 | −4.4 | +1.9 | 0.218 | 3 | −16.0 |
| 5 | vs Marist | W 31-28 | −11.1 | −1.9 | 0.068 | 4 | −10.3 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | W 21-14 OT | +4.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Valparaiso · p 0.007
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Truman StateDII · W 37-27
- Wk 3: at HanoverDIII · W 16-7