St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#53
+2.5 pts · likely #35–74
Strength of schedule
17.8
#119 of 129
Strength of victory
12.7
#78
Record SOS
0.453
Opp. 43.4% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
94.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
4-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | +2.1 | −1.9 | 0.274 | 2 | +20.8 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +6.0 | +1.9 | 0.472 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −1.9 | +1.9 | 0.271 | 2 | −2.3 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −10.3 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.948
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7