Idaho
Big Sky · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#35
+6.4 pts · likely #23–59
Strength of schedule
39.7
#27 of 129
Strength of victory
28.3
#26
Record SOS
0.517
Opp. 52.8% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
34.1
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 37-30 | +3.5 | −1.9 | 0.307 | 2 | +7.7 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | W 20-6 | −4.5 | −1.9 | 0.148 | 3 | +6.5 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 30-41 | +18.3 | +1.9 | 0.778 | 1 | +8.4 |
| 7 | vs Northern Colorado | L 33-49 | −6.6 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Idaho State · p 0.341
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 10-13
- Wk 4: at San José StateFBS · L 28-31