Sacramento State
Big Sky · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 53% of the time
Power
#25
+10.2 pts · likely #13–40
Strength of schedule
34.5
#53 of 129
Strength of victory
26.1
#34
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 43.6% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
68.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota State | L 3-20 | +14.7 | +1.9 | 0.698 | 1 | −0.8 |
| 3 | vs Mercyhurst | W 49-28 | −4.1 | −1.9 | 0.155 | 3 | +13.8 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 45-16 | +3.1 | −1.9 | 0.298 | 2 | +28.7 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | L 24-32 | +1.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at UC Davis · p 0.682
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · L 17-20