Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-7 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#86
−4.9 pts · likely #66–103
Strength of schedule
50.7
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
32.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.550
Opp. 57.4% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
8.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 17-24 OT | +12.1 | +1.9 | 0.635 | 1 | +10.4 |
| 4 | at Houston Christian | W 26-23 OT | −13.2 | +1.9 | 0.084 | 4 | −8.4 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | L 18-26 | +4.7 | −1.9 | 0.337 | 2 | −4.5 |
| 7 | at Idaho | W 49-33 | +9.2 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Portland State · p 0.084
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Chadron StateDII · W 17-3
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-21