South Dakota State
MVFC · 7-4 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 36% of the time
Power
#11
+14.4 pts · likely #6–25
Strength of schedule
45.5
#10 of 129
Strength of victory
41.5
#3
Record SOS
0.588
Opp. 61.3% · Opp. opp. 53.8%
Remaining SOS
67.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 20-3 | +11.5 | −1.9 | 0.518 | 1 | +25.4 |
| 2 | at Montana State | W 30-24 OT | +28.9 | +1.9 | 0.931 | 1 | +32.1 |
| 3 | vs Drake | W 37-21 | +1.2 | −1.9 | 0.255 | 2 | +15.3 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51-7 | −3.3 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.780
- Wk 14: vs New Hampshire · p 0.457
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.773