Valparaiso
Pioneer · 1-8 vs FCS · 2-9 overall
Strength of record
#122
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#128
−24.8 pts · likely #125–129
Strength of schedule
26.0
#89 of 129
Strength of victory
0.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 50.8% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
14.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Western Illinois | L 30-51 | −7.9 | +1.9 | 0.155 | 3 | −26.0 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 7-58 | +19.5 | +1.9 | 0.801 | 1 | −15.5 |
| 6 | at Drake | L 0-41 | +0.5 | +1.9 | 0.328 | 2 | −32.1 |
| 7 | vs Dayton | L 10-41 | −7.3 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Butler · p 0.144
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 67-10
- Wk 2: vs AdrianDIII · L 7-10