Western Illinois
OVC · 3-6 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#96
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#96
−6.8 pts · likely #74–110
Strength of schedule
26.6
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
12.2
#81
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 44.6% · Opp. opp. 51.6%
Remaining SOS
40.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 51-30 | −24.9 | −1.9 | 0.008 | 4 | −5.6 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | L 31-52 | +2.8 | +1.9 | 0.385 | 2 | −15.1 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 23-31 | −7.5 | −1.9 | 0.106 | 3 | −16.7 |
| 6 | at Tennessee Tech | L 20-66 | +13.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.407
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 2: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-42