Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 4-6 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#64
+0.3 pts · likely #43–85
Strength of schedule
35.9
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
13.1
#75
Record SOS
0.530
Opp. 53.4% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
23.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 30-21 | −4.0 | −1.9 | 0.156 | 3 | +2.7 |
| 3 | at North Dakota State | L 14-41 | +31.5 | +1.9 | 0.952 | 1 | +5.2 |
| 4 | vs Southern Illinois | L 31-59 | +10.1 | −1.9 | 0.479 | 2 | −19.2 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-34 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Lindenwood · p 0.232
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 24-42