Southern Illinois
MVFC · 5-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 61% of the time
Power
#23
+10.6 pts · likely #11–39
Strength of schedule
46.1
#9 of 129
Strength of victory
28.2
#27
Record SOS
0.549
Opp. 54.6% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
64.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UT Martin | W 37-10 | +6.9 | +1.9 | 0.495 | 2 | +33.9 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 59-31 | +1.5 | +1.9 | 0.354 | 2 | +30.1 |
| 6 | vs Indiana State | W 55-27 | −0.8 | −1.9 | 0.213 | 3 | +23.7 |
| 7 | at North Dakota State | L 17-45 | +30.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.643
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 49-3
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 17-34