Tennessee State
OVC · 2-9 vs FCS · 2-9 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#108
−10.4 pts · likely #91–117
Strength of schedule
28.9
#77 of 129
Strength of victory
7.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 50.5%
Remaining SOS
25.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 24-21 | −13.7 | −1.9 | 0.048 | 4 | −12.6 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota State | L 3-59 | +31.4 | −1.9 | 0.919 | 1 | −6.4 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | L 21-23 | −13.2 | −1.9 | 0.051 | 4 | −16.4 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 8-35 | +14.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Charleston Southern · p 0.257