Dayton
Pioneer · 5-4 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#93
−6.0 pts · likely #70–108
Strength of schedule
13.5
#127 of 129
Strength of victory
9.3
#90
Record SOS
0.428
Opp. 40.8% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
2.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Illinois | L 14-24 | −7.6 | +1.9 | 0.159 | 3 | −15.1 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 17-14 | −10.3 | +1.9 | 0.120 | 3 | −4.8 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 48-14 | −26.4 | −1.9 | 0.006 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 6 | at Morehead State | W 35-28 | −18.7 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Davidson · p 0.020
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 38-0