Morehead State
Pioneer · 4-5 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−17.5 pts · likely #113–126
Strength of schedule
19.5
#115 of 129
Strength of victory
5.1
#96
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 43.2% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
34.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 13-41 | +12.9 | +1.9 | 0.655 | 1 | −12.8 |
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 7-56 | +6.0 | +1.9 | 0.471 | 2 | −27.1 |
| 5 | at Presbyterian | L 0-41 | −1.2 | +1.9 | 0.287 | 2 | −34.0 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | L 28-35 | −5.5 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Drake · p 0.345
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs AllenDII · W 38-31
- Wk 4: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 45-28