East Tennessee State
Southern · 6-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#29
+8.7 pts · likely #16–46
Strength of schedule
29.4
#73 of 129
Strength of victory
22.2
#46
Record SOS
0.462
Opp. 44.2% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
18.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Murray State | W 45-17 | −9.0 | −1.9 | 0.089 | 4 | +16.5 |
| 3 | at West Georgia | L 31-35 | +6.4 | +1.9 | 0.481 | 2 | +3.1 |
| 4 | vs Elon | W 26-16 | +4.1 | −1.9 | 0.322 | 2 | +11.7 |
| 5 | vs Mercer | L 34-38 | +15.5 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs The Citadel · p 0.182
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 17-72