Elon
CAA · 5-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#48
+3.5 pts · likely #33–69
Strength of schedule
35.8
#41 of 129
Strength of victory
23.3
#43
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
4.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Davidson | W 55-7 | −22.4 | −1.9 | 0.012 | 4 | +11.3 |
| 3 | at Western Carolina | W 37-31 | +6.1 | +1.9 | 0.474 | 2 | +13.6 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 16-26 | +7.9 | +1.9 | 0.523 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 5 | vs Hampton | W 41-20 | −15.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.048
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 17-45