Villanova
CAA · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 10% of the time
Power
#17
+12.3 pts · likely #9–34
Strength of schedule
34.7
#50 of 129
Strength of victory
31.4
#13
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 50.4%
Remaining SOS
60.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | −0.2 | −1.9 | 0.226 | 3 | +4.3 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +11.1 | +1.9 | 0.608 | 1 | −4.1 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +5.9 | −1.9 | 0.367 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +12.1 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.191
- Wk 14: vs Harvard · p 0.696
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.756
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.852
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.542
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52