Monmouth
CAA · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#18
+12.1 pts · likely #9–34
Strength of schedule
26.9
#83 of 129
Strength of victory
25.6
#35
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
6.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Colgate | W 42-39 | −0.3 | +1.9 | 0.309 | 2 | +3.9 |
| 2 | at Fordham | W 49-28 | −9.9 | +1.9 | 0.125 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 4 | vs Villanova | W 51-33 | +13.7 | −1.9 | 0.577 | 1 | +28.5 |
| 6 | vs Delaware State | W 49-38 | −2.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs UAlbany · p 0.063
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 35-42