Mercer
Southern · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#8
+16.4 pts · likely #4–20
Strength of schedule
27.4
#82 of 129
Strength of victory
28.4
#25
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 46.6% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
49.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
6-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −2.1 | −1.9 | 0.188 | 3 | −7.6 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | +3.2 | −1.9 | 0.301 | 2 | +3.6 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | −0.5 | +1.9 | 0.303 | 2 | +34.2 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +8.2 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.499